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Senator Casey Refuses to Concede

November 14, 2024
By
Jerry McConway

Trump surpasses Harris in explosive new poll

In a surprising shift, Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, has taken a slight lead over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in New Hampshire, a state that has not favored a Republican candidate in nearly a quarter-century.

This surprising turn of events occurs as voters in New Hampshire express concerns about the economy and display declining support for Harris.

Trump Takes Lead in Historic New Hampshire Shift

Results from a poll released on Sunday indicate that Trump is now leading Harris by a narrow margin in New Hampshire. Trump has garnered 50.2% of the vote, compared to Harris' 49.8%. This development is noteworthy in a state that has aligned with the Republican party last during George W. Bush's campaign in 2000.

Previously, an earlier poll conducted on Friday placed Trump three points behind Harris. This recent shift marks a significant change in voter sentiment as the presidential race progresses.

New Hampshire has historically been a challenging state for Trump, who was defeated there in both the 2016 and 2020 elections, with President Biden winning by over seven percentage points in 2020.

Economic Concerns Influence Voter Preferences

Voter priorities in New Hampshire seem to be shifting as economic issues gain prominence. An earlier poll highlighted that the economy is a key issue for 34% of voters in the state. This focus on economic concerns may be contributing to the change in polling numbers.

Nationally, Trump is also ahead of Harris, leading by two points—47% to 45%—in other polls. The economic challenges facing voters appear to be impacting Harris' favorability, which has seen a decline from 50% in August to 45% in late October.

Harris, currently serving as vice president, has also experienced a drop in her approval rating within this role, now sitting at 42%.

Local Races Reflect Political Dynamics

Aside from the presidential race, significant attention is also on the New Hampshire gubernatorial race. Republican Kelly Ayotte leads her opponent, Democratic nominee Joyce Craig, with 51.9% support to Craig's 48.1%. This nearly four-point lead suggests a broader Republican trend in the state.

The shifting political landscape in New Hampshire is further underscored by the voters' stance on social issues. For instance, 54% of voters expressed decreased support for any candidate backing men competing in women's sports. These sentiments could be influencing current poll standings.

The NH Journal poll, which captured these dynamics, surveyed 622 registered voters between October 24 and 26. The poll's margin of error stands at +/- 3.93%.

Campaign Responses and Strategic Efforts

Amidst these developments, both Trump's and Harris' campaigns have refrained from providing comments. The Daily Caller News Foundation reached out for statements, yet no responses were received from either side.

The strategic focus of the campaigns is evident, with Trump making strides in a historically challenging state and Harris working to fortify her support. Karoline Leavitt, a spokesperson for the Trump campaign and a native of New Hampshire, highlighted the urgency for action.

Leavitt noted the significance of Harris' efforts in New Hampshire, implying that the Democratic nominee is in a defensive position. She urged voters to support Trump, asserting that Harris represents a 'radical liberal' agenda.

Implications for the Presidential Race

While the polls offer a snapshot of current voter preferences, they also speak to the broader challenges each candidate faces. With the economy taking center stage, how each candidate addresses these concerns could significantly impact their standing.

The Republican advantage seen in New Hampshire aligns with a national trend, yet the coming days will be crucial as the candidates continue their campaigns. The engagement of voters on pressing issues like the economy and social policies will likely shape the final outcome of this race.

Both Trump and Harris have their strategies cut out for them in what promises to be a closely watched-contest with national implications. As the election season advances, maintaining momentum and addressing voter concerns will be pivotal.

By
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October 29, 2024
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