Obama Hits Campaign Trail Hard in Waning Days… [Election Prediction Inside]

This election is about as tight as it gets, and now Kamala Harris is calling in the big dogs to try to save her campaign from an embarrassing loss.

To that point, Barack Obama is expected to campaign heavily down the stretch for Harris, including a big rally in Wisconsin on Sunday.

Bringing in the Big Dogs

In the run of polling just before the weekend, Harris was in pretty bad shape. If she cannot sweep the Blue Wall states, her path to victory becomes very difficult. So, Harris decided to call in the golden child of the Democrat Party to help her.

On Sunday, Barack Obama traveled to Milwaukee, Wisconsin, to try to boost Harris in a key Blue Wall state.

Harris and Trump have been going back and forth in terms of the lead in the state, with even the most recent polls showing each with a lead. So now the question is if this pop by Obama can give her enough of an edge to take the state.

The Blue Wall States

As I mentioned above, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are the key to this election for Harris. If she sweeps these states and the rest of the blue states go as expected, she lands right on 270, and it is game over.

Since Obama was in Wisconsin, let’s work backward, taking Wisconsin first. In the four polls that were published over the weekend, Trump led in two, they were tied in one, but the New York Times poll had Haris with a 2% lead.

In Pennsylvania, the state seems to have clearly swung to Trump, with Trump leading in five of the six polls released. This would include the New York Times poll. Michigan just remains too close to call, with most of the polling showing Harris and Trump in a tie or Harris with a small margin.

Rest of the Battleground

Arizona appears to be strongly in favor of Donald Trump, as he has opened up his lead over the last few days in every poll taken. I would also note that the outlier poll that had Kari Lake tied was proven to be just that, as she is well behind Gallego in her Senate race. Georgia also appears to be leaning Trump, but this will be a close race.

Nevada is a hot mess right now, with polls showing results all over, from ties to big spreads for Trump to the same for Harris. I am going to put this state leaning Harris just to be conservative. Next is the key for Donald Trump, which is North Carolina. Trump has a solid lead in every poll, except for that New York Times poll, so I am more concerned today than I was a few days ago, but I still feel this state leans toward Trump.

My Election Prediction

Before digging into the battleground states, all things are going as expected save those seven states, Harris is sitting at 226, with Trump at 219.

As far as Arizona and Nevada go, I see these states being split, so I am going to give Trump Arizona and Harris Nevada. I believe Trump is going to take both Georgia and North Carolina. So, if those predictions hold true, that would put Trump at 262 and Harris at 232. And now we head to the Blue Wall states.

With the races being as close as they are in these states, I don’t see any way Harris can take all three of these states. Even if she takes Pennsylvania and Michigan, the states with the two biggest electoral totals, she still comes up short at 264.

So, I am going to call this election for Trump, with an electoral count of either 272 or 291. And if my prediction holds up, about 15 minutes after it becomes official, expect a massive meltdown on the left that creates the ugliest scene we have seen in this country after an election in modern history.